Main
Women's Bantamweight
Aspen Ladd vs Yana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
·Capital One Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Aspen Ladd
Yana Santos
57%
43%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
9-4
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Ladd: 47 sig / 2 TD ·
Santos: 47 sig / 0 TD
Aspen Ladd
Yana Santos
39
Sig strikes landed
45
88
Sig strikes attempted
90
72
Total strikes landed
83
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
165s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Aspen Ladd
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
W2
Yana Santos
18-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—