Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Spitz
Tanner Boser
39%
61%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Spitz: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Boser: 93 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Spitz
Tanner Boser
26
Sig strikes landed
39
80
Sig strikes attempted
61
37
Total strikes landed
61
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
70s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Spitz
6-4
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
Blue corner
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28