Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Jack Shore vs Nohelin Hernandez

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier ·Royal Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jack Shore
Nohelin Hernandez
77% 23%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Shore: 46 sig / 4 TD · Hernandez: 6 sig / 0 TD
Jack Shore
Nohelin Hernandez
38
Sig strikes landed
24
67
Sig strikes attempted
53
61
Total strikes landed
39
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
162s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jack Shore

"Tank"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Nohelin Hernandez

"Suave"
9-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
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