Prelims1
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese vs Lando Vannata
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marc Diakiese
Lando Vannata
70%
30%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 1y
28
18-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
13-8-2
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diakiese: 40 sig / 4 TD ·
Vannata: 25 sig / 0 TD
Marc Diakiese
Lando Vannata
43
Sig strikes landed
39
105
Sig strikes attempted
90
53
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
Blue corner
W1
Lando Vannata
"Groovy"
13-8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
D
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
D
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—