Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Jared Cannonier
75%
25%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
25-10
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
W4
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hermansson: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Cannonier: 28 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Jared Cannonier
47
Sig strikes landed
36
92
Sig strikes attempted
79
60
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
135s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
25-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—