Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dusko Todorovic
Teddy Ash
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Todorovic: 102 sig / 0 TD ·
Ash: 109 sig / 0 TD
Dusko Todorovic
Teddy Ash
37
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
73
51
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Teddy Ash
"Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
30