Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Leon Shahbazyan
Phil Rowe
66%
34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
80"
24
Age
Δ 5y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Shahbazyan: 65 sig / 1 TD ·
Rowe: 84 sig / 0 TD
Leon Shahbazyan
Phil Rowe
36
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
77
48
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Leon Shahbazyan
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29