Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Julius Anglickas
Karl Reed
60%
40%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Anglickas: 62 sig / 4 TD ·
Reed: 25 sig / 2 TD
Julius Anglickas
Karl Reed
40
Sig strikes landed
30
81
Sig strikes attempted
60
56
Total strikes landed
46
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
120s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Julius Anglickas
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Karl Reed
"No Worries"
6-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 1.6
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