Main
Light Heavyweight
Misha Cirkunov vs Jimmy Crute
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
·Rogers Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Misha Cirkunov
Jimmy Crute
30%
70%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
32
Age
Δ 9y
24
15-10
Career record
Δ 11 pp
15-4-2
L1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Cirkunov: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Crute: 21 sig / 0 TD
Misha Cirkunov
Jimmy Crute
14
Sig strikes landed
21
27
Sig strikes attempted
44
19
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
87s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Misha Cirkunov
15-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
Blue corner
W2
Jimmy Crute
15-4-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—