Back to UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Main Welterweight

Song Kenan vs Derrick Krantz

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang ·Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Song Kenan
Derrick Krantz
72% 28%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
22-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
22-13
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kenan: 58 sig / 0 TD · Krantz: 33 sig / 3 TD
Song Kenan
Derrick Krantz
42
Sig strikes landed
23
81
Sig strikes attempted
63
51
Total strikes landed
37
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
36s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Song Kenan

"The Assassin"
22-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
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W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
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W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
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Blue corner
L1

Derrick Krantz

"D-Rock"
22-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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