Main
Welterweight
Vicente Luque vs Mike Perry
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
·Antel Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Mike Perry
76%
24%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
25-12-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
15-8
W5
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Luque: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Perry: 87 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Mike Perry
54
Sig strikes landed
41
123
Sig strikes attempted
86
61
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
80s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
15-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—