🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Liz Carmouche
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
·Antel Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Liz Carmouche
91%
9%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
14-7
W3
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Shevchenko: 42 sig / 1 TD ·
Carmouche: 18 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Liz Carmouche
54
Sig strikes landed
26
96
Sig strikes attempted
56
105
Total strikes landed
55
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
234s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
W2
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—