Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Omari Akhmedov
Zak Cummings
50%
50%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
22-6-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
26-7
W1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Akhmedov: 26 sig / 2 TD ·
Cummings: 17 sig / 0 TD
Omari Akhmedov
Zak Cummings
33
Sig strikes landed
33
96
Sig strikes attempted
97
40
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
116s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
22-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
D
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W2
Zak Cummings
26-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—