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Omar Morales vs Harvey Park

DWCS 3.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Omar Morales
Harvey Park
55% 45%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 0y
33

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Morales: 44 sig / 0 TD · Park: 23 sig / 0 TD
Omar Morales
Harvey Park
36
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
48
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
122s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Omar Morales

"Venezuelan Fighter"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner

Harvey Park

"Fightbot"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33