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Aleksa Camur vs Fabio Cherant

DWCS 3.6 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Aleksa Camur
Fabio Cherant
60% 40%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Camur: 44 sig / 0 TD · Cherant: 7 sig / 0 TD
Aleksa Camur
Fabio Cherant
33
Sig strikes landed
35
69
Sig strikes attempted
73
47
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Aleksa Camur

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Fabio Cherant

"Water Buffalo"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25