Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
James Vick
Dan Hooker
43%
57%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
13-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-15
L2
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Vick: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Hooker: 22 sig / 0 TD
James Vick
Dan Hooker
46
Sig strikes landed
50
106
Sig strikes attempted
110
52
Total strikes landed
61
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
57s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
13-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
L1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—