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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Domingo Pilarte vs Felipe Colares

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards ·Frost Bank Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Domingo Pilarte
Felipe Colares
49% 51%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
30
Age
Δ 4y
25
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pilarte: 11 sig / 2 TD · Colares: 23 sig / 2 TD
Domingo Pilarte
Felipe Colares
34
Sig strikes landed
25
60
Sig strikes attempted
48
53
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
259s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Domingo Pilarte

"Son of Fire"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Felipe Colares

"Cabocao"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
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