Main
Heavyweight
Aleksei Oleinik vs Walt Harris
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aleksei Oleinik
Walt Harris
98%
2%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
42
Age
Δ 6y
36
60-18-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
14-10
L1
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Oleinik: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Harris: 4 sig / 0 TD
Aleksei Oleinik
Walt Harris
18
Sig strikes landed
15
32
Sig strikes attempted
31
28
Total strikes landed
20
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
96s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60-18-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
Blue corner
W2
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
14-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 5-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—