Back to DWCS 3.3
Main Lightweight

James Wallace vs Joe Solecki

DWCS 3.3 ·Meta Apex
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
James Wallace
Joe Solecki
47% 53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wallace: 2 sig / 0 TD · Solecki: 13 sig / 1 TD
James Wallace
Joe Solecki
33
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
75
42
Total strikes landed
52
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
95s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

James Wallace

"Jesse"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Joe Solecki

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26