🏆 Title fight
Main
Heavyweight
Daniel Cormier vs Stipe Miocic
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
·Honda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Stipe Miocic
65%
35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 8"
80"
40
Age
Δ 3y
37
23-3
Career record
Δ 12 pp
20-6
W7
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Cormier: 181 sig / 1 TD ·
Miocic: 123 sig / 1 TD
Daniel Cormier
Stipe Miocic
68
Sig strikes landed
69
117
Sig strikes attempted
120
99
Total strikes landed
92
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.7
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
209s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W7
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
13 fights · 11-1
Last 5
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
Blue corner
L1
Stipe Miocic
20-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—