Back to UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Julia Avila vs Pannie Kianzad

UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Julia Avila
Pannie Kianzad
43% 57%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Avila: 49 sig / 0 TD · Kianzad: 33 sig / 1 TD
Julia Avila
Pannie Kianzad
36
Sig strikes landed
35
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
65
Total strikes landed
62
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Julia Avila

"Raging Panda"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
L1

Pannie Kianzad

"Banzai"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—