Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Ariane da Silva vs Molly McCann
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
·Bon Secours Wellness Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ariane da Silva
Molly McCann
65%
35%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
62"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
17-12
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-8
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
da Silva: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
McCann: 108 sig / 2 TD
Ariane da Silva
Molly McCann
60
Sig strikes landed
64
157
Sig strikes attempted
143
92
Total strikes landed
77
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
212s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
17-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
Blue corner
W1
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
15-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—