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Main Lightweight

Davi Ramos vs Austin Hubbard

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Davi Ramos
Austin Hubbard
49% 51%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
W3
Current streak
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ramos: 63 sig / 3 TD · Hubbard: 44 sig / 0 TD
Davi Ramos
Austin Hubbard
28
Sig strikes landed
34
61
Sig strikes attempted
72
45
Total strikes landed
48
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
173s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Davi Ramos

"Tasmanian Devil"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
W UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
Blue corner

Austin Hubbard

"Thud"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27