Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Anderson Silva
44%
56%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
77"
35
Age
Δ 9y
44
19-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
34-12
W1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cannonier: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 8 sig / 0 TD
Jared Cannonier
Anderson Silva
38
Sig strikes landed
37
67
Sig strikes attempted
75
52
Total strikes landed
47
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
66s
Control time
18s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
73%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
Blue corner
L1
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
34-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
44
In our database
13 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—