Prelims1
Welterweight
Ben Saunders vs Takashi Sato
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
·BB&T Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ben Saunders
Takashi Sato
47%
53%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
36
Age
Δ 7y
29
L2
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saunders: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Sato: 28 sig / 0 TD
Ben Saunders
Takashi Sato
32
Sig strikes landed
35
63
Sig strikes attempted
66
37
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
62s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22-14-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
Blue corner
Takashi Sato
"Ten"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29