Prelims1
Bantamweight
Boston Salmon vs Khalid Taha
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Boston Salmon
Khalid Taha
42%
58%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Salmon: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Taha: 5 sig / 0 TD
Boston Salmon
Khalid Taha
32
Sig strikes landed
32
67
Sig strikes attempted
57
45
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Boston Salmon
"Boom Boom"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Khalid Taha
"The Warrior"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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