Back to UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Prelims1 Flyweight

Eric Shelton vs Jordan Espinosa

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis ·Bridgestone Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Eric Shelton
Jordan Espinosa
58% 42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
W1
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Shelton: 25 sig / 0 TD · Espinosa: 47 sig / 1 TD
Eric Shelton
Jordan Espinosa
42
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
92
57
Total strikes landed
56
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
205s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Eric Shelton

"Showtime"
13-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
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L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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W UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
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L UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
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L UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
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Blue corner

Jordan Espinosa

"The Gamer"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29