Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Alexis Davis vs Jennifer Maia
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Jennifer Maia
52%
48%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
21-12
Career record
Δ 0 pp
21-11-1
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 72 sig / 1 TD ·
Maia: 60 sig / 0 TD
Alexis Davis
Jennifer Maia
48
Sig strikes landed
43
117
Sig strikes attempted
103
80
Total strikes landed
75
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
176s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alexis Davis
21-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
L1
Jennifer Maia
21-11-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—