🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Henry Cejudo vs TJ Dillashaw
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Henry Cejudo
TJ Dillashaw
50%
50%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
17-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-5
W3
Current streak
W4
9
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cejudo: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Dillashaw: 1 sig / 0 TD
Henry Cejudo
TJ Dillashaw
65
Sig strikes landed
81
151
Sig strikes attempted
168
81
Total strikes landed
113
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.6
5.2
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
110s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
17-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
Blue corner
W4
TJ Dillashaw
19-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 12-3
Last 5
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—