Back to UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Prelims2 Welterweight

Kyle Stewart vs Chance Rencountre

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw ·Barclays Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kyle Stewart
Chance Rencountre
54% 46%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Stewart: 2 sig / 0 TD · Rencountre: 6 sig / 2 TD
Kyle Stewart
Chance Rencountre
37
Sig strikes landed
32
69
Sig strikes attempted
66
50
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
97s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kyle Stewart

"Gunz Up"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Chance Rencountre

"Black Eagle"
14-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
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