Main
Heavyweight
Junior Dos Santos vs Tai Tuivasa
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Tai Tuivasa
61%
39%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
22-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-10
W1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dos Santos: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Tuivasa: 16 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Tai Tuivasa
60
Sig strikes landed
46
118
Sig strikes attempted
101
60
Total strikes landed
55
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
0.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
26s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
22-9
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W3
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
16-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—