Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Taila Santos
Estefani Almeida
85%
15%
Why
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 91 sig / 1 TD ·
Almeida: 47 sig / 0 TD
Taila Santos
Estefani Almeida
44
Sig strikes landed
32
91
Sig strikes attempted
78
81
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
215s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Taila Santos
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Estefani Almeida
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30