Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andre Muniz
Bruno Assis
80%
20%
Why
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Muniz: 48 sig / 3 TD ·
Assis: 19 sig / 2 TD
Andre Muniz
Bruno Assis
38
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
71
55
Total strikes landed
42
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner
Bruno Assis
"Brunao"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26