Back to DWCS Brazil 1.2
Main Women's Strawweight

Marina Rodriguez vs Maria Oliveira

DWCS Brazil 1.2 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Marina Rodriguez
Maria Oliveira
53% 47%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
31
Age
Δ 10y
22

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rodriguez: 35 sig / 1 TD · Oliveira: 8 sig / 0 TD
Marina Rodriguez
Maria Oliveira
40
Sig strikes landed
39
82
Sig strikes attempted
90
71
Total strikes landed
67
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Marina Rodriguez

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Maria Oliveira

"Spider-Girl"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22