Prelims1
Featherweight
Humberto Bandenay vs Austin Arnett
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
·Parque Roca Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Humberto Bandenay
Austin Arnett
54%
46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
14-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-7
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bandenay: 30 sig / 2 TD ·
Arnett: 74 sig / 1 TD
Humberto Bandenay
Austin Arnett
31
Sig strikes landed
24
57
Sig strikes attempted
63
42
Total strikes landed
37
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
82s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Humberto Bandenay
14-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
L2
Austin Arnett
16-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—