Main
Featherweight
Ricardo Lamas vs Darren Elkins
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
·Parque Roca Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Darren Elkins
41%
59%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
20-9
Career record
Δ 0 pp
29-13
L2
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Lamas: 70 sig / 3 TD ·
Elkins: 62 sig / 3 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Darren Elkins
37
Sig strikes landed
45
80
Sig strikes attempted
104
46
Total strikes landed
76
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
87s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
19 fights · 14-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—