Main
Welterweight
Neil Magny vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
·Parque Roca Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Santiago Ponzinibbio
47%
53%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 7"
73"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
32-15
Career record
Δ 10 pp
32-9
W2
Current streak
W6
19
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 4
Magny: 72 sig / 0 TD ·
Ponzinibbio: 79 sig / 0 TD
Neil Magny
Santiago Ponzinibbio
53
Sig strikes landed
51
136
Sig strikes attempted
117
71
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
80s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
19 fights · 14-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
Blue corner
W6
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
32-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—