Back to UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Main Middleweight

Cezar Ferreira vs Ian Heinisch

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio ·Parque Roca Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Cezar Ferreira
Ian Heinisch
46% 54%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
34
Age
Δ 3y
30
W2
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ferreira: 26 sig / 5 TD · Heinisch: 55 sig / 1 TD
Cezar Ferreira
Ian Heinisch
29
Sig strikes landed
24
62
Sig strikes attempted
54
42
Total strikes landed
36
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
183s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Cezar Ferreira

"Mutante"
14-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
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Blue corner

Ian Heinisch

"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30