Prelims1
Bantamweight
Pingyuan Liu vs Martin Day
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
·Cadillac Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Pingyuan Liu
Martin Day
72%
28%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Liu: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Day: 100 sig / 1 TD
Pingyuan Liu
Martin Day
31
Sig strikes landed
29
66
Sig strikes attempted
70
49
Total strikes landed
42
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
161s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Pingyuan Liu
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
Martin Day
"The Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30