Back to UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Chris de la Rocha vs Juan Adams

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta ·Fiserv Forum
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Chris de la Rocha
Juan Adams
36% 64%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 0"
80"
40
Age
Δ 13y
27
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
de la Rocha: 41 sig / 1 TD · Adams: 86 sig / 2 TD
Chris de la Rocha
Juan Adams
24
Sig strikes landed
37
50
Sig strikes attempted
70
46
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
163s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Chris de la Rocha

6-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
Blue corner

Juan Adams

"The Kraken"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27