Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zak Ottow
Dwight Grant
68%
32%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ottow: 14 sig / 1 TD ·
Grant: 25 sig / 1 TD
Zak Ottow
Dwight Grant
39
Sig strikes landed
36
84
Sig strikes attempted
75
53
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
17-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
Blue corner
Dwight Grant
"The Body Snatcher"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
34