Back to DWCS Brazil 1.1
Main Middleweight

Antonio Arroyo vs Diego Henrique da Silva

DWCS Brazil 1.1 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Antonio Arroyo
Diego Henrique da Silva
62% 38%
Why
29
Age
Δ 3y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arroyo: 49 sig / 4 TD · Henrique da Silva: 38 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Arroyo
Diego Henrique da Silva
37
Sig strikes landed
33
77
Sig strikes attempted
71
54
Total strikes landed
45
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Antonio Arroyo

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner

Diego Henrique da Silva

"Gaucho"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32