Back to DWCS Brazil 1.1
Main Women's Bantamweight

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Mayana Kellem

DWCS Brazil 1.1 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mayra Bueno Silva
Mayana Kellem
65% 35%
Why
27
Age
Δ 10y
37

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Bueno Silva: 3 sig / 0 TD · Kellem: 2 sig / 0 TD
Mayra Bueno Silva
Mayana Kellem
38
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
71
70
Total strikes landed
68
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
136s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Mayana Kellem

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37