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Darren Stewart vs Edmen Shahbazyan

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Darren Stewart
Edmen Shahbazyan
32% 68%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
28
Age
Δ 7y
21
W2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Stewart: 34 sig / 1 TD · Shahbazyan: 22 sig / 8 TD
Darren Stewart
Edmen Shahbazyan
26
Sig strikes landed
39
59
Sig strikes attempted
78
38
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
102s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Darren Stewart

"The Dentist"
13-8 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
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L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
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Blue corner

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21