Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Devin Clark vs Aleksandar Rakic
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Devin Clark
Aleksandar Rakic
38%
62%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
15-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-6
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Clark: 19 sig / 0 TD ·
Rakic: 31 sig / 0 TD
Devin Clark
Aleksandar Rakic
37
Sig strikes landed
44
69
Sig strikes attempted
86
57
Total strikes landed
69
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
110s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
15-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
W2
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
15-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—