Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Greg Hardy
Tebaris Gordon
57%
43%
Why
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hardy: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Gordon: 1 sig / 0 TD
Greg Hardy
Tebaris Gordon
27
Sig strikes landed
20
56
Sig strikes attempted
38
23
Total strikes landed
24
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
23s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
14%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Greg Hardy
"Prince of War"
8-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 2.1
—
Blue corner
Tebaris Gordon
"Boom"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30