Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Juan Adams
Shawn Teed
56%
44%
Why
26
Age
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Adams: 57 sig / 0 TD ·
Teed: 6 sig / 0 TD
Juan Adams
Shawn Teed
32
Sig strikes landed
33
65
Sig strikes attempted
65
45
Total strikes landed
46
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Juan Adams
"The Kraken"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Shawn Teed
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27