Prelims2
Welterweight
Ryan LaFlare vs Anthony Rocco Martin
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ryan LaFlare
Anthony Rocco Martin
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
15-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-6
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
LaFlare: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Martin: 36 sig / 0 TD
Ryan LaFlare
Anthony Rocco Martin
38
Sig strikes landed
38
97
Sig strikes attempted
92
60
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.8
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
146s
Control time
209s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ryan LaFlare
15-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
Blue corner
W1
Anthony Rocco Martin
18-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—