🏆 Title fight
Main
Welterweight
Tyron Woodley vs Darren Till
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tyron Woodley
Darren Till
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
36
Age
Δ 11y
26
20-7-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-5-1
W2
Current streak
W4
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Woodley: 57 sig / 0 TD ·
Till: 0 sig / 0 TD
Tyron Woodley
Darren Till
39
Sig strikes landed
47
87
Sig strikes attempted
113
46
Total strikes landed
52
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
89s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
20-7-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
D
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W4
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
19-5-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—