Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jordan Espinosa
Rilley Dutro
59%
41%
Why
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Espinosa: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Dutro: 71 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Espinosa
Rilley Dutro
26
Sig strikes landed
22
60
Sig strikes attempted
44
38
Total strikes landed
28
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jordan Espinosa
"The Gamer"
16-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 1.7
—
Blue corner
Rilley Dutro
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31